8/26/25

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     The Livestock Markets were all higher today, with the Fats, Feeders making new contract highs, and the Hogs making a new 1-month high. October'25 Live Cattle were 1.37 ½ higher today and settled at 238.00. Today's high was 238.52 ½ and that is the new contract high as well. Today's low was 236.77 ½ and the 1-month low is 221.90. Since 7/25 October'25 Live Cattle are 15.05 higher or almost 7%. The October'25 Feeder Cattle were 3.02 ½ higher today and settled at 363.77 ½. Today's high was 364.52 ½ and that is the new 1-month and contract high as well. Today's low was 361.45 and the 1-month low is 328.10. Since 7/25 October'25 Feeder Cattle are 32.77 ½ higher or almost 10%. The Hogs also traded higher today. October'25 Hogs were 2.02 ½ higher today and settled at 93.42 ½. Today's high was 93.55 and that is the new 1-month high as well. Today's low was 91.37 ½ and the 1-month low is 87.92 ½. Since 7/25 October'25 Lean Hogs are 2.82 ½ higher or more than 3%. The Strangle Trades in the Feeders are working well. In the near term, I see that the Cattle Markets can continue to rally, but not in the long term. I have new Trades structured in the Cattle Markets, let me know if you are interested. I still recommend the Strangle Trades with the current market levels, as you can profit on a continued rally, or a big break in the market. With a Strangle you are looking for market movement, not direction. My thoughts on the Cattle Markets are below. Once again, if you buy Livestock, Hedge your Livestock. I look forward to hearing from you. Have a great night.

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I think the expiring August’25 Live Cattle Contract will continue to rally through the end of the week trying to catch up to the Cash Market before it expires this Friday. I think the Cattle Markets could start to break after the Labor Day weekend and/or after the likely .25% interest rate cut by the Fed on September 17^th. The Fed started raising interest rates March 17^th, 2022. On 3/21/2022 October’22 Live Cattle traded 133.63. From that day to today’s high in the October’25 Live Cattle of 238.45 (at the time this was written) it is a difference of $104.82. President Trump has signaled that he wants the rate’s cut by 3% or more. The Fed rate was increased by 5.25% between 3/17/22 and 7/26/23, injecting fresh new cash into all markets, including the Commodity Markets. A great example of this can be seen in the Live Cattle Contract, as the Funds hold a huge, long position in the Live Cattle. If the Rates start to break, I believe it could be the end of the historic run higher in the Cattle Markets. I have short term and long-term trades ready to go. Let me know what you think, or if you have any questions, or are interested in learning more. The Chinese are in Washington D.C., and they say it is for official trade deal negotiations, but the U.S. denies that. Yesterday, President Trump said he was open to allowing 600,000 Chinese students into US College’s, so there must be some deals taking place. The recent ‘unknow’ Grain purchases were most likely the Chinese as well. With the Chinese Trade Deal Deadline falling on Sunday November 9^th, one day before a WASDE Report on the 10^th. Anything could be announced that weekend or on the WASDE Report Day. It could make things very interesting. I have been recommending buying the January’26 Soybeans, as the November’25 Soybean Options Contract expires on 10/24/25, before the Chinese Trade Deal Deadline. I have a few trades structured in the January’26 Soybeans. Let me know if you are interested or would like to talk about it. If you would like to participate with the opportunity these markets currently provide and would like to open an account, please give me a call 312-957-8079, or provide you information using this link Sign Up Now Thank you. CHECK THE FIRST TWO CHARTS BELOW ON THE FED RATE INCREASE AND THE LIVE CATTLE PRICE INCREASE. 

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS

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     The Grain Markets were mixed today, with the Corn giving a few cents back. The Beans were higher again today. November'25 Soybeans were 1 ¾ cents higher today and settled at 1049 ½. Today's high was 1055 ¾ and the 1-month high is 1062 ¾. Today's low was 1041 ¾ and the 1-month low is 981 ¼. Since 7/25 November'25 Soybeans are 28 ½ cents higher or almost 3%. The Corn Market traded lower today. December'25 Corn was 2 ¾ cents lower today and settled at 409 ½. Today's high was 414 ½ and the 1-month high is 419 ¾. Today's low was 408 ½ and the 1-month and contract low are 392. Since 7/25 December'25 Corn is 9 ½ cents lower or more than 2%. The Wheat Market was higher today. December'25 Wheat was 2 cents higher today and settled at 531 ¾. Today's high was 534 ½ and the 1-month high is 559 ¾. Today's low was 527 and the 1-month and contract low is 517 ¼. Since 7/25 December'25 Wheat is 26 ½ cents lower or almost 5%. The Grains have rallied a little over the last week, but much more is needed. If a trade Deal does get done with China, it should benefit the Grain Markets. If thigs get messy between Russia and Ukraine, you could see some war premium come back into the Wheat Market. If nothing happens, then there will be plenty of Grain around and nowhere to put it. I have started to look for opportunity if that becomes reality. There are several ways to profit on a stagnate or range bound market, and I have structured a few examples if you are interested. I am still looking for Trade Deal boost in the Grain Market, but also prepared if that does not happen, and we have to bob and weave through these Markets. Give me a call if you have any questions. Have a great night. 

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FED RATE INCREASES FROM 3/17/22 - 7/26/23 = 5.25% - CHART BELOW

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5-YEAR LIVE CATTLE CHART BELOW. NOTICE THE DATE OF 3/21/22 FOUR DAYS AFTER THE FIRST RATE INCREASE AND THE PRICE OF LIVE CATTLE AT 133.63

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS

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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving at your new and very large brokerage house, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM   Sign Up Now

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 BULLISH NOVEMBER'25 FEEDER CATTLE OPTION TRADES AND STRANGLE TRADES FROM 8/18/25. TAKE A LOOK - THEY ARE WORKING WELL - I CAN RESTRUCTURE THEM FOR YOU TOMORROW IF YOU ARE INTERESTED.

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If you would like to open an account, please call or send me an email BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM 

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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.

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December'25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.  

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December'25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below. 

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USE THE QR CODE BELOW TO SIGNUP FOR TRADE ALERTS

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If you would like to receive more information on the commodity markets, please use the link to join my email list   Sign Up Now 

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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canandian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States. 

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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it. 

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Most Recent Walsh Gamma Trader Link - Walsh Gamma Trader

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GOD BLESS AMERICA

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Give me a call if you have any questions.

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Bill Allen

Vice President

Pure Hedge Division 

Direct: 312-957-8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

WALSH TRADING INC.

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Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606

www.walshtrading.com

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Futures and options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Therefore, individuals should carefully consider their financial condition in deciding whether to trade. Option traders should be aware that the exercise of a long option will result in a futures position. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. The information contained on this site is the opinion of the writer or was obtained from sources cited within the commentary. The impact on market prices due to seasonal or market cycles and current news events may already be reflected in market prices. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. 

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